The Balkan countries and Macedonia including, enter new "war" for preservations of the independence and national identity. After "reduction" of the EU, in connection with an exit of Britain, I began the real geopolitical war for the "small" countries of the Balkans and Eastern Europe.

 Russia, after unsuccessful revolution in October, 2016 in Montenegro (behind which organization there was a military investigation) ceased to interfere on a straight line with affairs of the Balkan countries. Russia transferred to Turkey part of these paradigms on the Balkans.

 In expert circles in Moscow consider that Turkey has real influences on processes in Albania, in Macedonia, in Bulgaria, in Bosnia and in Kosovo. Most likely, Russia will keep a geopolitical situation under the control only in Serbia and in the Serbian autonomy in Bosnia. Russia will try to influence processions in Macedonia by means of government circles of Hungary and structures of "Gazprom". For example:  Russia transports gas to Turkey on the gas pipeline "Blue Stream" and "Trans - balkansk" to the gas pipeline through Ukraine, Moldova, Romania and Bulgaria. In a year, with commissioning of "The Turkish stream", supply of the Russian gas will stop on the “Transbalkan” gas pipeline. And it means that all countries of the Balkans will get under power dependence on Turkey.

 In military aspect - in Russia consider that the Turkish military control the General Staff of Armed Forces of Macedonia. But on the other hand, England and Germany have huge influence over the government and political parties in Macedonia.

 As for policy of the USA in relation to Macedonia, D. Trump's administration isn't strongly interested in the help to Macedonia, except action of the political adventurist G. Soros who really carries out political orders of Brussels and London ( see please - http://www .panarmenian.net/eng/photoset/1953/13520 ).

 In Moscow not strongly believe that the leadership of Serbia it is up to the end betrayed to friendship with Russia. If "tomorrow" the EU really admits Serbia to structure of the EU, the leadership of Serbia "will betray" at once Russians.

 There is a geopolitical war for the future of the EU: The EU - without the countries of the Balkans, or the EU - together with the countries of the Balkans in the updated structure of the EU.

 It is necessary to notice that in Macedonia interests of the Russian geopolitical paradigm are opposed by Germany and England. Russians tired out themselves to the deadlock after the relation to Macedonia in particular, and the Balkan countries - in general, because of policy of "Gazprom" in relation to these countries about what experts of our academy already wrote here: "Gazprom" involves Russia in war - http://rusdozor.ru/2015/06/10/gazprom-vtyagivaet-rossiyu-v-vojnu/  and  https://twitter.com/araik_sargsyan/status/609632299118792704 ).

  On the Balkans opposed plans of Russia and the EU continues to work actively.

 At the beginning of March, the Head of diplomacy of the EU Federica Mogherini finished big tour across the Balkans, having visited Montenegro, Macedonia, Serbia, Albania, Kosovo and Bosnia. The trip had not legal value. Its results in many respects will define destiny of the region seeking to become part of the European Union. In particular in Macedonia the European emissary of F. Mogherini sent the main signal to the president Gerge  Ivanov. She urged the head of state to revise the recent decision and to grant the right to create the government to the leader of the oppositional Social democratic union Zoran Zayev who together with three Albanian parties secured with the majority in parliament. Madam Mogherini warned: refusal of the president "threatens democracy and doesn't answer the purpose of European integration which all Macedonian leaders call a priority".

 Mogerini gave main "homework" of the EU to Belgrade: it is normalization of the relations with Pristina. Partially it is already carried out. Top-level Serbian - Kosovo dialogue is resumed, and as a result of impact of Belgrade on Kosovan Serbians the wall dividing Kosovska-Mitrovica on Serbian was without serious consequences destroyed and Albanian speak rapidly. inspection of the pedestrian zone which appeared instead of it built on the allocated EU  of €1 million, madam Mogerini carried out personally. Probably, in acknowledgement to Belgrade for diligence the guest from the EU addressed to local parliament in the Serbian language. However the answer didn't differ in reciprocity. Deputies from Radical party of Voislav Sheshel began to chant: "Serbia, Russia - we don't need the EU!" Nearly all the time of speech of the head of European diplomacy so proceeded.

 Federica Mogherini praised the leadership of Kosovo for performance of one "homework" - taking measures to fight against corruption, but warned that to time for training of the second "almost didn't remain": if in the next few days the Kosov’s parliament doesn't vote for demarcation of border with Montenegro, the population of Kosovo won't see liberalization of a visa regime with the EU for a long time.

 Whether the states of the Balkans should count on the accession to the EU in the near future? Finally the European Union should be determined by expansion strategy at the anniversary summit at the end of March when the European leaders gather in Rome to celebrate the 60 anniversary of the EU and to formulate the main directions of its reform.

Meanwhile, Serbia and Kosovo appeared on the verge of serious opposition again. On March 12 the Kosov’s president Hashim Thaçi declared creation of army of the republic of Kosovo - contrary to provisions of its constitution. In reply Serbia called on Monday March 13, an extraordinary meeting of the Security Council. Nearly for the first time in Serbian-Kosovo opposition on side of Belgrade there was a West. But, most likely Serbians again should wait for the help from Russia; and whether the help, here in what a question will arrive on time it.

  Russia is involved in new war on the Balkans, pushing Kosov’s Albanians to Serbia. If new war on the Balkans begins, Macedonia won't be able to stand aside, having weak the selecting at home - in the form of Tetovo's problem and radical requirements of 27% - th the Albanian population.

 Arayik Sargsyan,  academician, Honorary Consul of Macedonia in Armenia, President of Academy of Geopolitics, the Representative of AIC  in the Countries of the Middle East.

P.S.

https://yandex.ru/yandsearch? text=Honorary%20Consul%20of%20Macedonia%20in%20Armenia&lr=10262

 

Russia in a geopolitical paradigm of Macedonia.

Expert assessment of the Academy of Geopolitics.

   The Balkan countries and Macedonia including, enter new "war" for preservations of the independence and national identity. After "reduction" of the EU, in connection with an exit of Britain, I began the real geopolitical war for the "small" countries of the Balkans and Eastern Europe.

 Russia, after unsuccessful revolution in October, 2016 in Montenegro (behind which organization there was a military investigation) ceased to interfere on a straight line with affairs of the Balkan countries. Russia transferred to Turkey part of these paradigms on the Balkans.

 In expert circles in Moscow consider that Turkey has real influences on processes in Albania, in Macedonia, in Bulgaria, in Bosnia and in Kosovo. Most likely, Russia will keep a geopolitical situation under the control only in Serbia and in the Serbian autonomy in Bosnia. Russia will try to influence processions in Macedonia by means of government circles of Hungary and structures of "Gazprom". For example:  Russia transports gas to Turkey on the gas pipeline "Blue Stream" and "Trans - balkansk" to the gas pipeline through Ukraine, Moldova, Romania and Bulgaria. In a year, with commissioning of "The Turkish stream", supply of the Russian gas will stop on the “Transbalkan” gas pipeline. And it means that all countries of the Balkans will get under power dependence on Turkey.

 In military aspect - in Russia consider that the Turkish military control the General Staff of Armed Forces of Macedonia. But on the other hand, England and Germany have huge influence over the government and political parties in Macedonia.

 As for policy of the USA in relation to Macedonia, D. Trump's administration isn't strongly interested in the help to Macedonia, except action of the political adventurist G. Soros who really carries out political orders of Brussels and London ( see please - http://www .panarmenian.net/eng/photoset/1953/13520 ).

 In Moscow not strongly believe that the leadership of Serbia it is up to the end betrayed to friendship with Russia. If "tomorrow" the EU really admits Serbia to structure of the EU, the leadership of Serbia "will betray" at once Russians.

 There is a geopolitical war for the future of the EU: The EU - without the countries of the Balkans, or the EU - together with the countries of the Balkans in the updated structure of the EU.

 It is necessary to notice that in Macedonia interests of the Russian geopolitical paradigm are opposed by Germany and England. Russians tired out themselves to the deadlock after the relation to Macedonia in particular, and the Balkan countries - in general, because of policy of "Gazprom" in relation to these countries about what experts of our academy already wrote here: "Gazprom" involves Russia in war - http://rusdozor.ru/2015/06/10/gazprom-vtyagivaet-rossiyu-v-vojnu/  and  https://twitter.com/araik_sargsyan/status/609632299118792704 ).

  On the Balkans opposed plans of Russia and the EU continues to work actively.

 At the beginning of March, the Head of diplomacy of the EU Federica Mogherini finished big tour across the Balkans, having visited Montenegro, Macedonia, Serbia, Albania, Kosovo and Bosnia. The trip had not legal value. Its results in many respects will define destiny of the region seeking to become part of the European Union. In particular in Macedonia the European emissary of F. Mogherini sent the main signal to the president Gerge  Ivanov. She urged the head of state to revise the recent decision and to grant the right to create the government to the leader of the oppositional Social democratic union Zoran Zayev who together with three Albanian parties secured with the majority in parliament. Madam Mogherini warned: refusal of the president "threatens democracy and doesn't answer the purpose of European integration which all Macedonian leaders call a priority".

 Mogerini gave main "homework" of the EU to Belgrade: it is normalization of the relations with Pristina. Partially it is already carried out. Top-level Serbian - Kosovo dialogue is resumed, and as a result of impact of Belgrade on Kosovan Serbians the wall dividing Kosovska-Mitrovica on Serbian was without serious consequences destroyed and Albanian speak rapidly. inspection of the pedestrian zone which appeared instead of it built on the allocated EU  of €1 million, madam Mogerini carried out personally. Probably, in acknowledgement to Belgrade for diligence the guest from the EU addressed to local parliament in the Serbian language. However the answer didn't differ in reciprocity. Deputies from Radical party of Voislav Sheshel began to chant: "Serbia, Russia - we don't need the EU!" Nearly all the time of speech of the head of European diplomacy so proceeded.

 Federica Mogherini praised the leadership of Kosovo for performance of one "homework" - taking measures to fight against corruption, but warned that to time for training of the second "almost didn't remain": if in the next few days the Kosov’s parliament doesn't vote for demarcation of border with Montenegro, the population of Kosovo won't see liberalization of a visa regime with the EU for a long time.

 Whether the states of the Balkans should count on the accession to the EU in the near future? Finally the European Union should be determined by expansion strategy at the anniversary summit at the end of March when the European leaders gather in Rome to celebrate the 60 anniversary of the EU and to formulate the main directions of its reform.

Meanwhile, Serbia and Kosovo appeared on the verge of serious opposition again. On March 12 the Kosov’s president Hashim Thaçi declared creation of army of the republic of Kosovo - contrary to provisions of its constitution. In reply Serbia called on Monday March 13, an extraordinary meeting of the Security Council. Nearly for the first time in Serbian-Kosovo opposition on side of Belgrade there was a West. But, most likely Serbians again should wait for the help from Russia; and whether the help, here in what a question will arrive on time it.

  Russia is involved in new war on the Balkans, pushing Kosov’s Albanians to Serbia. If new war on the Balkans begins, Macedonia won't be able to stand aside, having weak the selecting at home - in the form of Tetovo's problem and radical requirements of 27% - th the Albanian population.

 Arayik Sargsyan,  academician, Honorary Consul of Macedonia in Armenia, President of Academy of Geopolitics, the Representative of AIC  in the Countries of the Middle East.

P.S.

https://yandex.ru/yandsearch? text=Honorary%20Consul%20of%20Macedonia%20in%20Armenia&lr=10262

 

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